NFL trends and ATS Standings through Week 11

Here are some NFL betting trends through Week 11.

* Home-field advantage is non-existent this year for the most part. Last week, road teams went 11-5 against the spread and are 88-67-4 ATS this season, just over 60 percent.
* That trend has really been evident as home underdogs, usually a strong play, have struggled all year and sit at 15-28 ATS (note: that means road favorites, which I usually try to avoid, are 28-15 ATS (65.1 percent)
* Double-digit underdogs continue to shine with the Raiders vs. the Dolphins and the Lions vs. the Panthers to improve to 17-1 ATS against the closing lines at the Las Vegas Hilton (note: I've heard slightly different numbers being mentioned, but obviously there can be differences in grading). The Bengals did fail on Thursday night to drop the trend to 17-2 on the year. The only other game at double digits as of Thursday was the 49ers +10 vs. the Cowboys.
* As a whole, favorites and dogs have pretty well split with faves holding a slight edge at 76-75-5.
* On the individual team front, the Titans are atop the NFL ATS Standings (linked at the bottom of the page, including over/under tendencies of each team as well as streaks in both categories) at 9-0-1 after rallying to win and cover vs. the Jaguars last week. The Giants have covered five straight games to stand at 8-2.
* On the bottom end of the spectrum, the Rams, Jaguars, and Vikings are 3-7 ATS. The Bills have failed to cover four in a row after a hot start.
* In totals wagering, the Texans are 9-1 with the over and this week face the Browns, who have gone over in three straight games, with a total of 49 1/2.
* The Redskins have the best record with the under at 7-2-1.

I also wrote a little about the Steelers-Chargers ending last week in my column that appears in Saturday's editions of
Daily Racing Form.

Chart for NFL ATS Standings through Week 11

 

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